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Structural Risk Analysis

The 25% Ownership Threshold

The math behind Foreign-Influenced Entities (FIEs), and how contamination spreads through a supply chain.

Establishing that your immediate supplier isn't a Specified Foreign Entity (SFE) is the easy part. The hard part is proving they aren't a Foreign-Influenced Entity (FIE).

The Triggers

According to the Notice provisions, an entity becomes an FIE through a material relationship to an SFE. The most critical triggers are equity-based:

  • 01
    The 25% Single Limit≥25% equity ownership by a single SFE
  • 02
    The 40% Aggregate Limit≥40% aggregate equity ownership by multiple SFEs
  • 03
    Debt & Control Hooks≥15% SFE debt, or effective control via licensing/board seats

Calculating Indirect Ownership

The 25% threshold gets hard once ownership is tiered. Say Company A is 50% owned by a Chinese state enterprise, which makes it an SFE, and Company A owns 30% of Company B. Working out whether Company B crosses the threshold takes careful, step-by-step tracing.

Hidden ownership automatically triggers a CAUTION flag. If a tier-1 supplier's ownership is generic or obscured, sits above the 25% threshold, and has no jurisdiction confirmed, they are a real risk to your certification.

This is why Verdex traces ownership against canonical entity data (GLEIF, OpenCorporates) rather than trusting a supplier's own disclosures. The 25% threshold gets checked against the real ownership graph, not a form someone filled out.